Category: COVID

Yesterday we reached the bind moggling number of 1.4 million new cases reported in a single day. That’s 7x the case rate a year ago during the 3rd wave. I think the only way this is possible is if people who were immune to the older forms are not immune to the new ones. As…

I keep reminding everyone that I predicted a wave of COVID that crests around New Year. Well, we’re one week past that and the wave shows no sign of cresting. It boggles my mind that the 6th wave is now more than 2X bigger than the 3rd. Boggled. Anyway, the prediction also had a standard…

Looks like the numbers for COVID are really shooting up. The 6th wave is almost as big as the 3rd wave. Hopefully, the peak will come soon and this will be over. I expect that COVID will be over in 2022, whether or not it goes away.

Just want to remind you that on August 31 I predicted that if we have another COVID wave, it would peak around New Year’s Day. This was based on nothing but looking at the graph of daily case counts and noticing that there’s a peak about every 4 months (120 days). We passed a minimum…

Looks like the 5th wave is peaking. I thought for sure the 4th was the end, but it wasn’t. If we have a 6th wave, I predict it will occur around December 31 this year. This is based on a simple observation: the peaks of the waves seem to come about 4 months apart (average…

I find it a bit surprising and discouraging that we’ve developed a 5th wave of COVID. This wave is well on its way to rival wave 3, and it hasn’t peaked yet. The thing about dealing with a force of nature is that only rational behavior succeeds. Despite the speed at which effective vaccines were…

Just got my vaccine. As I was standing in line (or rather, cattle chute), an incredible feeling swept over me. This is the day we’ve been waiting for, like the dove returning to Noah. COVID is finally over.

I went to the CDC website today, hoping to collect support for declaring that things are looking good. Unfortunately, there is still a worrying uptick in case rates. By the end of this month we will know whether a 4th wave is forming. If it doesn’t, then we can celebrate the end of COVID. This…

Now is not the time to throw away your masks and party in the streets with your friends. We have about a month to go before we really get past COVID. All the gleeful opening up could easily create another wave. I see a tiny uptick in the data which could be the front of…

Will we have a 4th wave of COVID? The waves are caused by relaxing our guard when things look good, combined with not acting quickly enough when cases start ticking up again. The waves have been spaced about 4-5 months apart, so I’d expect the next one around the end of March (about 5 weeks…